iBusinessAngel

Angelic Agreement? But will it stay heavenly?

More than half of business angel investments fail, but why? How much of this can be put down to the innate vulnerability of start-up businesses?

Surely having an enthusiastic angel investor on board, eager to provide a timely injection of funding to ensure success should mean failure rates i.e. those leaving the business angel out of pocket come exit time should statistically be on the better side of half.

Yet this clearly isn’t the case. In an ideal world entrepreneurs and the angel investors are made for each other, a real match made in heaven as the title to this blog suggests. Put simply most start-ups require money and if it seems like a good idea, most angel investors on the lookout for new opportunities  are eager to supply it – and make a decent return in five years or perhaps less. Perfect, the entrepreneur gets his money, establishes a viable business and the angel investor rides off into the sunset profit in hand ready to fund the next venture.

But life isn’t that simple. Good relationships are crucial to the stability and success of a business. Relationships need not necessarily be cordial at all times, debate and alternative viewpoints are healthy and can be productive , but like all relationships in life, certain elements must be in place to ensure relationships don’t unravel and become destructive.

While some angel investors will be looking more at business structures and the ideas and innovations those businesses are bringing to their market, it would be wrong to ignore the importance of the individuals who run businesses – the management team and the person(s) leading them.

The most successful investors should put fairly large sums into two or three businesses they know something about and whose management is trustworthy, at least this is what the most astute investors like Keynes and more recently Warren Buffet would tell you.

Finding out if the managers of the business you invest in are trustworthy isn’t easy. First you must establish a relationship. We often speak of relationships as having the right chemistry and it is crucial for the angel investor to feel that chemistry when he meets the entrepreneur he’s willing to invest in for the next four, five or maybe more years.

This is no easy task. Not all angel investors are entrepreneurs and many entrepreneurs don’t have the right instincts or ideas to make their business a success even with the help of investment as the statistics show. There can often be gaps in age and experience between business angel and entrepreneur. Take for example an ambitious 18-year-old fresh out of college, full of ideas and exuberance, the business angel who invests in the business may have a wealth of experience to offer, but will he/she be able to pass that knowhow, as well as money, on to ensure a successful future? There may well be gaps in age and understanding as well as experience.

If both angel investor and entrepreneur lack experience of starting up and developing a business, the relationship might turn into a voyage of discovery for both which may then flounder on rough seas. No matter how much money is invested, at least one party should know how to make the best use of it and both investor and entrepreneur must be able to work together and have their interests in alignment to achieve success and a positive return on investment.

Increasingly these days, angel investors are opting to join business angel networks and groups to spread risk rather than be faced with the possibility of choosing the wrong business to invest in. While this approach may have its advantages it will naturally create a distance between them and the entrepreneur. The cash may well pour into the business, but can the entrepreneur be trusted? This is a major question to consider, and also is the entrepreneur self-disciplined to spend the money wisely?

Investing too much money too soon can be toxic for a start-up particularly when an entrepreneur may lack focus or is prone to taking risks with your money.This brings us back to relationships, put simply, the business angel’s role is to invest not only money but also add value. For the relationship to work, therefore, the entrepreneur must be flexible, be willing to be mentored, work as part of a team and frugal with the money at his/her disposal.

Keeping these tips in mind should ensure that at least (market forces permitting) it will be the business that fails rather than the business relationship.

Warren Buffett on a visit to Kansas University Business School

Have you ever asked yourself what would Warren Buffett do if he were a Business Angel?
 
Well, it might be a bit hard to ask Mr Buffett along to attend our investments seminars, so instead we have attempted to summarise the rules Warren Buffett applies to his investments to see if we can apply that to business angel investing?

Yes, we can. With a few adaptations.

From Buffett’s many rules and ideas our take on his work is that it can be summarised very briefly as follows

• lose no money (nor shareholder value)
• buy franchise business (with pricing power)
• align incentives (between management and shareholders)

 

Lose no Money means
Buy at fair price (neither too much nor too little). Too much and you’ll never make a return, too little and the sellers (who will probably remain in or retain an interest in the business) will resent your presence and are likely to undermine the financial outcome for everyone. What is a fair price? It has to be based on the likely throw-off of cash (net of capital reinvestment required to maintain the business, its assets and its brand) over the next 20 years. It is difficult to assess early stage business values, but that is no reason not to try and Buffett’s method is as good as any and provides a clear starting place.

There are two tricks when assessing future cashflow returns

1. Firstly, most start-up business plans predict steady growth over years one to three and then exponential profit growth. This just means that future costs are unknown, not that the business is likely to experience 80 or 90% profit margins. Nearly all businesses, especially if they wish to maintain growth, will revert to profit margins at or below 30% of revenue. Many mature businesses will have much lower profit margins but are much more stable and reliable. Therefore, use the industry standard profit margin for future returns and never above 30%.
2. Secondly, most businesses forget that they need to re-invest a given amount of cash into the business simply to maintain its value. A good example is brand advertising, which does not have a direct cash generative benefit, but without it the long term ability of the business to grow revenue will be harmed.

Lose no Money also means
Don’t speculate - but place your money on sure bets at good prices. However, this is not the environment of the business angel investor – who is in early investment sector. The truth is that the early stage investment market is not a sector that Buffett works in. However, the principle can still be applied – albeit that you accept that you are in a speculative environment. iBusiness Angel has written before on how to reduce the chances of losing your money- and it is important to keep these ideas at the front of your mind before making any investment. So Business Angels need to consider reducing the risk of a loss whilst Buffett can focus on ‘Lose no Money’.

Lose no Money also means
Invest in businesses that you understand. That means that if your knowledge is based on retail businesses, don’t invest in a tech start up, unless it has specific application to the sector that you know about. Buffett famously didn’t invest in Microsoft nor the tech boom. He made his money by sticking to what he knew well so that he could judge a good opportunity clearly and avoid the bad investment options.

Franchise business means
The business must be able to maintain its price position. Hence, it must be creating and delivering a product or service that is unique and protected by intellectual property rights or geography. Without this protection, whatever the business offers is vulnerable to´’cheap immitators’ or ‘me too’ competitors which might not put the firm out of business but will prevent the business maintaining its margin and therefore damaging shareholder value (see point 1 above).

Aligned incentives means
The incentives of the shareholders must be the same as the investors. This is often the case at the beginning of the start up, but if the management start paying themselves large salaries, then their incentive will no longer be to sell the shares but to hang onto the job. The control of future remuneration by shareholders – independent of the management – is critical for any start-up in its middle years. This control needs to be set up right (ie to ensure that shareholders can keep the incentives balanced or have an option to sellout) and it needs to be set up before the business angel invests.

Early Stage investors who can adapt Buffetts rules and principles and apply them to Business Angel Investing stand a far greater chance of success.

This approach does, of course, require a more systematic approach to investing – some might call it ‘professional’ – but the evidence is that this steady handed and cool headed approach is the most successful. And, for the epitome of a cool headed investor, we need look no further than Warren Buffett.

Ps. We’d strongly recommend you keep a copy of Mr Buffett’s thoughts and essays.

There are many books on Buffett, but there is nothing like going directly to the source yourself. The best of the bunch has to be The Essays of Warren Buffett: Lessons for Investors and Managers.